Wrexham A.F.C. have a 35.8% chance of finishing in the Championship’s top eight this season, according to Opta’s supercomputer. The Red Dragons narrowly missed the play-offs last term, finishing seventh with 71 points (19W-14D-13L) after a final-day loss to Middlesbrough. This year’s expanded play-off format-now including six teams-boosts their promotion hopes.
How does the expanded play-off format help Wrexham?
The EFL’s decision to extend play-off spots to teams finishing third through eighth gives Wrexham a better shot at promotion. Opta’s model suggests they would have had only a 26.2% chance under the old system. Now, with West Ham (29.4%) and Southampton (23.7%) as top contenders, Wrexham’s 35.8% odds are competitive.
What’s next for Wrexham in the Championship?
Wrexham kick off their 2026/27 campaign against Cardiff City on Monday, August 17, at the Cardiff City Stadium (8pm BST). This will be their first league meeting since 2002, when Cardiff won 3-2. The Red Dragons also face Middlesbrough again after a 1-0 Carabao Cup loss earlier this season.
Why is this season critical for Wrexham?
After finishing 24 points behind leaders Coventry last season, Wrexham aim to close the gap. Scoring 69 goals while conceding 65 (+4 goal difference) shows their attacking potential, but defensive improvements will be key. With Hollywood owners Ryan Reynolds and Rob McElhenney backing the squad, expectations are high.
